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IMF Lops Half‑Point Off 2025 World‑Growth Call

Summary: The IMF cut its 2025 global‑GDP forecast to 2.8 % (from 3.3 %) citing tariff uncertainty and tighter financial conditions; it warned recession odds have “meaningfully risen.”

Key Facts:

  • U.S. projection: 1.8 % (‑0.9 pp).
  • Said a full‑blown tariff shock could erase $1 tn in world output. Investopedia

Topic in Depth:

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